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AI-Powered Projections
Week 17 Projections
Neural network predictions with floor/ceiling ranges and confidence scores
CNN-Transformer Multi-Year
v2.0
Our MAE
4.17
FantasyPros MAE
6.07
31.3% more accurate than FantasyPros
Week:
#
Player
Matchup
Projection
Range
Conf
Own%
1
Jared Goff
DET
vs MIN
14.7 pts
3.6 25.8
M
0%
2
Trevor Lawrence
JAX
vs
12.3 pts
0 26.7
L
0%
3
Kirk Cousins
ATL
vs
12.3 pts
1.5 23.1
L
0%
4
Brock Purdy
SF
vs
12 pts
0 26.7
L
0%
5
Matthew Stafford
LAR
vs
10.7 pts
0 26.5
L
0%
6
Justin Herbert
LAC
vs
10.4 pts
4.3 16.4
M
0%
7
Tyler Shough
NO
vs
9.7 pts
0.7 18.7
L
0%
8
Joe Burrow
CIN
vs
8.9 pts
0 24.2
L
0%
9
Jalen Hurts
PHI
vs
8.7 pts
0 17.9
L
0%
10
C.J. Stroud
HOU
vs
8.1 pts
0 18.5
L
0%
11
Caleb Williams
CHI
vs
8 pts
0 18
L
0%
12
Drake Maye
NE
vs
7.9 pts
0 18.2
L
0%
13
Bo Nix
DEN
vs KC
7.8 pts
0 21
L
0%
14
Josh Allen
BUF
vs
7.4 pts
0 16
L
0%
15
Joe Flacco
CIN
vs
7.4 pts
0 21.7
L
0%
16
Jameis Winston
NYG
vs
7.4 pts
0 15.7
L
0%
17
Tyrod Taylor
NYJ
vs
7.2 pts
1.4 13
L
0%
18
J.J. McCarthy
MIN
vs DET
7.1 pts
0.6 13.7
L
0%
19
Geno Smith
LV
vs
6.6 pts
0 13.9
L
0%
20
Jordan Love
GB
vs
6.4 pts
0 15.2
L
0%
High Confidence
Medium Confidence
Low Confidence
Trending Up
Trending Down
💎 Value Plays (High upside, low ownership)
QB 0% owned
Jared Goff
DET
14.7
projected
25.8
ceiling
RB 0% owned
Jared Goff
DET
14.6
projected
25.7
ceiling
WR 0% owned
Tee Higgins
CIN
14.5
projected
25.5
ceiling
How Our Model Works
Historical Analysis
We analyze 5-game rolling windows of player performance, tracking trends in targets, touches, and scoring patterns.
Trajectory LSTM
Our neural network captures hot/cold streaks and predicts performance trajectories using sequence modeling.
Ensemble Approach
We combine XGBoost, LSTM, and Transformer models with Vegas lines and Madden ratings for robust predictions.
Training Data: NFL player-games 2021-2025 (24,982 samples)
Last Updated: December 26, 2025
Data Sources: nfl-data-py, ESPN, Madden 24, Vegas lines